Saturday, June 28, 2025

Taxation and Mobility: A Cross-Time Analysis of India’s Experience

Taxation and Mobility: A Cross-Time Analysis of India’s Experience

This article explores tax-related migration from ancient India to modern time. Tax migration refers to the effects of taxation on the geographic mobility of people. There is a rich history in ancient India of kings providing tax exemptions to encourage  highly skilled artisans, poets, astrologers, and scholars to migrate and settle to promote learning, elevate cultural and religious life, and improve societal well-being in their country. Tax-free agraharas were granted to Brahmins to settle and teach in new regions, as recorded in Chola copperplate inscriptions. The Arthashastra recommends land and tax holidays to attract skilled migrants and develop frontier areas. Buddhist Sanghas were gifted entire villages free from state levies to support monastic life. Even the legend of Agastya’s southern migration reflects such royal patronage through land grants and privileges. Thus, the tax exemptions acted as a key element to encourage migration and settlement since ancient times. Does this phenomenon continue even today? Let us examine.

The research establishes the fact that tax-related migration is very common among distinguished personalities who are in the fields of invention, sports, and acting even today. What fuels this trend? Of course, there could be mutual benefits for both state and tax-migrants. It is reported that actor Akshay Kumar has obtained Non-Resident Indian (NRI) status primarily for tax purposes, allowing his global professional income to remain outside the Indian tax net. This strategy is not uncommon among high-profile individuals—such as celebrities, sportspersons, and tech entrepreneurs—who often earn substantial cross-border incomes. Among various motivations, one key reason individuals opt for Non-Resident or Non-Domiciled (Non-Dom) status is to minimize their tax burden by relocating their tax residency to countries that offer low or zero personal income tax regimes.(NRI - refers to persons who stayed abroad for more than 182 days in a year)

Further, studies found that the High-Net-Worth- Individuals(HNWI) are highly -elastic to the tax rates and readily mobile to change their resident status to save them from paying large taxes. India has increasingly witnessed this trend. Migrating the wealth to offshore havens in response to high-tax-rates is a long- existing trend. As we see several tax havens offer mechanisms to conceal wealth in their countries in the form of equities, real assets, financial instruments etc. (HNWI- refers to persons who have ₹5 crore and above in investible assets as per SEBI)

The HSBC, Panama, Paradise, Pandora, and Dubai leaks together show a clear pattern of Indians hiding wealth offshore. The HSBC Swiss leaks (2015) alone revealed over 1,000 Indian account holders with undeclared assets worth more than $4.1 billion. The Panama Papers (2016) and Paradise Papers (2017) exposed secret offshore companies linked to politicians, actors, and business groups. However, there is a worrying trend of exodus of HNWI to foreign destinations. What exactly inspires this trend?

The trend analysis reveals that from 2011 to 2019, the number of people renouncing Indian citizenship remained relatively stable, ranging between 1,20,000 and 1,45,000 annually. A sharp dip occurred in 2020, with the number falling to around 85,000—likely due to COVID-19-related travel restrictions and global uncertainty. This was followed by a dramatic rise, 2021: 1,60,000, 2022: Peak at 2,25,000 (highest in the period), 2023: Slight decline to 2,15,000, but still historically high. As per the Ministry of External Affairs(MEA), reasons for renouncing citizenship  are personal. Also, MEA acknowledges the potential of the global workplace in an era of a knowledge economy.

Trends in the Indians who renounced citizenship:

 


There could be several pull factors and push factors to this structural shift in rise in number. The push factors could be deteriorating quality of life, lack of job opportunities, lack of recognition of talent, high taxation rates( both direct and indirect). The pull factors include zero or low tax rates, better job-cum-remuneration, quality of life, career prospects, better social security etc. However, we lack data to ascertain what exactly drove them to renounce Indian citizenship. 


Despite the lack of direct evidence, the countries wherein these people took citizenship offers some insights about the motives. USA, Canada, and Australia accounting for the choices of more than 75% of the renounced. These patterns underscore that Indian emigrants prioritize countries with transparent immigration systems, better social infrastructure, stronger passports, and favorable work or business conditions. The dominance of the U.S. also reflects the continued demand for high-skilled Indian workers, especially in tech and healthcare sectors. 


Top destination countries for renounced from India:

 

 

From the above analysis, safely, we can conclude that this trend of renouncements  to anglophonic countries as “career oriented mobility” rather than tax-based-migration, as these countries do not offer any preferential taxation regime for immigrants and also tax rates are relatively high. 


On the other hand, there was a persistent trend of exodus of HNWI in the recent past. As per the Henley & Partners Private Wealth Migration Reports (2022–2025), India is one of the top countries where exodus of HNWI persists. The figure below captures the trend of HNWI exodus from 2021 to 2025(projected). The report points to the fact that most of the HNWI emigration happens to UAE. Although the trend is not so alarming, it reveals the socio-economic preferences of the HNWI in choosing UAE, US and Singapore. Taxation is one of the major reasons driving this trend. The major reasons include UAE offers Zero personal income tax and other favourable disclosure norms. On the contrary, India tightened the disclosure norms on the global incomes of the tax residents with the Black Money Act etc. 


Trends in exodus of High Net Worth Individuals from India:



According to Henley & Partners, India continues to lose large numbers of millionaires, especially to the UAE. However, in our view these outflows are not particularly concerning as India continues to produce far more new HNWIs than it loses to emigration. Furthermore, the bulk of the millionaires who leave India tend to retain business interests and second homes in the country, which is a positive sign. Though re-assuring, we cannot be complacent with the trend. Exodus of HNWI means not only loss of tax revenue, also, impact on growth of private jobs, innovation, investor confidence, business sentiment etc. India must take necessary steps to reverse this trend at the earliest. 


Comparative chart of tax rates of relevant countries:


Country

Top Personal Income Tax Rate

Capital Gains Tax

Inheritance Tax

Remarks

India

30% + surcharge (up to ~43%)

10–20% depending on asset & period

None

High effective tax rate for HNWIs; no inheritance tax; compliance tightening in recent years.

UAE

0%

0%

0%

Tax haven; no personal income tax or capital taxes; popular among HNWIs for asset protection.

USA

37% (federal) + state taxes

Up to 20% + possible state taxes

Yes

High total tax burden; offers business and lifestyle opportunities; estate taxes significant.

Canada

33% (federal) + provincial

50% of capital gain is taxable

None (but probate fees)

Progressive system; high rates at upper incomes; strong public services attract emigrants.

Australia

45%

Taxed as income; 50% discount after 1 year

None

High income tax; CGT can be optimized; no inheritance tax; strong social benefits.

UK

45%

10–20% based on income & asset type

Yes (40% above threshold)

High taxes; inheritance tax burdened; Non-Dom regime historically favored wealthy foreigners.

Singapore

22%

No capital gains tax

No

Low-tax hub; no CGT or estate tax; efficient compliance; very HNWI-friendly environment.


In ancient India, kings attracted talent across disciplines by offering land grants and tax-exempt revenue villages, thereby enriching societal and economic life. Drawing inspiration from this historical approach, modern India must focus on rationalizing its tax regime and simplifying compliance to retain high-net-worth individuals. Providing targeted incentives for returning NRIs and fostering investor confidence are equally important. At the same time, enforcement against offshore tax evasion should be balanced with the need to support global mobility. Broader reforms aimed at improving ease of living and doing business will be essential for sustaining long-term economic retention.

Retaining talent today requires the wisdom of ancient incentives with the agility of modern reform


Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Behavioural Nudges in Tax Compliance


India's tax compliance remains notably low, with a tax-to-GDP ratio below 12%, significantly trailing behind OECD nations. In the realm of Direct Taxation, this ratio hovers around 5%, which is insufficient and inadequate. The accompanying chart illustrates the disparity between the Direct tax-to-GDP rate and the GDP Growth rate, highlighting the widening gap between the two. This suggests that a substantial portion of the population is outside the tax net and not contributing to the nation despite the evident economic growth. 

Figure: 1 Direct tax to GDP rate Vs GDP Growth Rate  Figure: 2 Year-wise Number of Filers  and Percentage Change

The relationship between economic growth and tax collection is mutually reinforcing. Over the past 30 years, India has experienced consistent and organic growth in its gross domestic product. However, direct tax collection does not accurately reflect this GDP growth. The tax-to-GDP growth rate has remained largely flat, indicating a lack of buoyancy in collection over the years. While many attribute this lack of buoyancy to skewed income distribution, it is evident that the country must also tackle compliance gaps.

The World Bank suggests that an ideal tax-to-GDP ratio is approximately 15%. This ratio plays a crucial role in fostering economic growth and development, facilitating a country's transition from low-income to middle-income status. It enhances the government's capacity to invest in essential public services such as education and healthcare. Additionally, a robust tax-to-GDP ratio helps mitigate economic volatility and address income inequality, allowing countries to avoid reliance on borrowed funds for development initiatives(Taxing for Growth: Revisiting the 15 Percent Threshold, 2024). 

India has significantly under-invested in critical areas like health, education, skill training, and infrastructure. This raises serious doubts about the State’s ability to generate resources through effective taxation. India still has 30% of its people living in poverty. 

Figure: 3 India’s Public Investment in Key Nation-Building Sectors(% of GDP)

It is inevitable for the country to mop up the resources through the right taxation of the right people. Traditional enforcement models, which rely on search and seizure operations (often referred to as raids), audits, and hefty penalties, fail to address the behavioral factors that drive tax compliance. There is a pressing need to integrate behavioral insights into tax administration to enhance voluntary compliance, reduce evasion, and improve revenue collection.

b. The intervention and its theoretical basis

Various psychological factors contribute to the challenges of tax compliance among individuals. A primary issue is the complexity of tax laws, which can discourage taxpayers and reduce their willingness to comply. Individuals often assess their knowledge of tax regulations, impacting their compliance intentions. Additionally, misconceptions about taxation frequently lead to non-compliance. Negative attitudes toward taxation, influenced by cultural, social, and personal beliefs, can also lower compliance rates. Social norms—such as the perception that others evade taxes—can further encourage tax evasion.

When individuals perceive the tax system as unfair, whether regarding tax distribution (who pays what), collection procedures, or penalties, they may be more inclined to evade taxes. It is widely acknowledged that the intrinsic desire to pay taxes, or tax morale, varies among individuals and societies. Low tax morale can result in increased evasion. Furthermore, cognitive shortcuts, or heuristics, such as misperceptions of risk and the effect of framing, can influence decisions about tax compliance. For example, if taxpayers mistakenly believe that audits are rare or penalties are lenient, they may engage in riskier behavior.

Finally, the manner in which tax authorities interact with taxpayers plays a crucial role in compliance. An enforcement-oriented approach (e.g., heavy fines, audits) can provoke resistance, while a service-oriented approach (e.g., facilitation, transparency) can foster trust and promote voluntary compliance (Kirchler, 2007).

In light of the above, let us explore the "slippery slope model," which suggests that tax compliance relies on a balance between trust in authorities and the authorities' power to enforce compliance. When trust is low, the use of enforcement measures may backfire, leading to even greater tax evasion.

 The Slippery Slope Framework (SSF) focuses on the relationship between trust in tax authorities and their power. It distinguishes between voluntary compliance, based on trust, and enforced compliance, based on authority. Trust in tax authorities is fostered through transparency, fairness, and effective tax administration. High levels of trust encourage voluntary compliance, with taxpayers willingly paying taxes as a contribution to society. Strong institutions, equitable tax policies, and public confidence in the government are likely to yield higher levels of voluntary compliance.

 Power, on the other hand, refers to the ability of tax authorities to observe, audit, and penalize tax evaders. When power is high, it leads to enforced compliance, where taxpayers comply out of fear of being caught and punished. Relying too heavily on enforcement can create resentment and ultimately undermine voluntary compliance over time. The interaction between power and trust should be mutually reinforcing. Optimal tax compliance is achieved through a balance of both factors. When trust is high, enforcement is minimal, fostering a cooperative environment among taxpayers. Conversely, when trust is low, tax authorities must increase enforcement, creating an adversarial atmosphere that encourages resistance. A slippery slope scenario arises when both trust and power are low, resulting in widespread tax evasion. 

Slippery Slope Framework

Figure 4: Pictorial representation of Slippery Slope Framework, Source: https://www.mdpi.com/


Research shows that trust in tax institutions significantly affects overall tax compliance more than enforcement measures do. While enforced compliance can be effective, it risks damaging long-term trust and voluntary compliance. Therefore, policy approaches should aim to build trust by treating taxpayers fairly while also maintaining an effective enforcement system(Lisi & University of Cassino, 2019). 


Slippery Slope Matrix

Figure 5: Slippery Slope Framework Matrix

c. Details of its implementation

It is evident from the discussion supra that more trust in tax authorities coupled with fair enforcement will yield more compliance. The implementation must combine behavioral insights to increase voluntary tax compliance, transcending the classical enforcement paradigm. Some of the most important behavioral-based recommendations are highlighted below:

1. Social Sanctions & Recognition – Publicizing payment of taxes or rewarding compliant taxpayers affects behavior by social norms. When people notice others paying taxes, they tend to comply themselves. Some countries have implemented "honor lists" for high taxpayers, thus generating positive reinforcement, while others apply mild social sanctions for non-compliance(Dom et al., 2022). In India, regular high-income taxpayers are awarded while middle-income taxpayers are not recognised. All layers of taxpayers must be rewarded, including free-lounge facilities in airports, free insurance coverages, priority access in airports, preferred seat allocation in railways, reduced toll rates, etc. 

2. Trust-Based Compliance – Taxpayers are more compliant when they feel the tax system is equitable, fair, and accountable. Governments must show transparency in tax collection and expenditure to create trust, decrease corruption perceptions and enhance voluntary compliance(Dom et al., 2022). Strengthening anti-corruption institutions, speedy trials in corrupt cases, barring corrupt politicians from contesting elections, breaking the bureaucratic-politico nexus through transparency and increasing accountability through public audits, etc.

3. Simplified Tax Processes – If tax procedures are too complicated, taxpayers are likely to hide taxes because they are confused, or compliance is costly. Simplification of tax reporting processes, making digital platforms available, and the availability of unambiguous tax policy promote compliance through minimizing the compliance effort(Dom et al., 2022). The tax department has continuously taken steps to simplify the tax filing process, including E-filing, compliance through online, simplified tax forms, etc. The recent simplification of provisions in the Income Tax Act is an example. Still, a lot can be done to make it less complex. Simplification of TDS provisions and processes, relief from mandatory tax audits in the thriving sectors such as MSME, renewable energy, prompt refunds, etc.

4. Behaviorally Designed Letters – Research indicates that tailored tax reminders with behavioral nudges, for example, highlighting social norms ("9 out of 10 individuals pay their taxes on time"), applying loss aversion (alerting taxpayers to possible penalties), or making moral appeals, strongly enhance tax compliance(Das Biswas, 2024).  We should make tax filers feel privileged and of a high moral status worthy of publishing to all. 

5. Pre-filled Tax Returns – Compliance rises when the process is simple. Pre-populating tax returns using third-party information minimizes errors, saves time, and enhances taxpayer trust, resulting in greater compliance(Das Biswas, 2024). The use of AI and data analytics could help pre-populate the relevant data for tax filing, where a taxpayer has to just give his consent or otherwise. This requires substantial investment in building infrastructure for the integration of bank transaction details, movable and immovable property details, and other relevant information to get it populated. 

6. Public Goods CommunicationGovernments can enhance tax morale by connecting tax payments with observable public goods, like infrastructure and healthcare. This reinforces the perception that taxes directly fund citizens' welfare (Dom et al., 2022). Visibility of how tax money is used will have a huge impact on taxpayers' morale. 

Figure 6: Strategic communication to nudge the common people to contribute to building the nation.  

When supplemented by conventional deterrence mechanisms, these behavioural interventions provide a more efficient and trust-based tax system.

d. The final/expected results

Behavioral considerations, such as psychological and social influences, are important for enhancing tax compliance rather than mere enforcement. The Slippery Slope Framework (SSF) postulates that tax compliance is affected by two key variables: trust in tax agencies and perceived enforcement authority. By using behavioral nudges that raise trust levels and tax morale, governments can move compliance from enforcement-based to voluntary, which is more sustainable in the long term.

One crucial method is ensuring transparency and equity in tax administration, as this fosters trust and encourages voluntary compliance. When taxpayers perceive tax policies as fair and believe the government acts responsibly, they are more inclined to comply willingly. Additionally, social norms and peer influence can serve as powerful motivators; research shows that informing individuals about high compliance rates among their peers significantly increases the likelihood of tax payment.

Another effective nudge involves positive reinforcement. Studies suggest that recognising and rewarding cooperative taxpayers—whether through acknowledgment or modest incentives—promotes positive behavior and strengthens tax morale. Conversely, relying solely on deterrent measures such as audits and penalties may yield temporary compliance but can undermine long-term trust and foster a confrontational dynamic of "cops vs. robbers." By thoughtfully implementing behavioral nudges such as personalized messaging, simplifying tax preparation, and fostering trust, governments can cultivate a synergistic tax environment where high compliance can be achieved even in the absence of strong enforcement. Ultimately, voluntary compliance is far more effective and sustainable in the long run than compelled compliance. Through these initiatives, tax buoyancy will be enhanced, allowing for the necessary resources to support the development sector and other areas.

e. Examples from China

A Chinese field experiment tested deterrence and non-deterrence nudges to tax compliance by reminding 7,377 taxpayers. Deterrence nudges, such as credit penalties and fines for late payment, boosted compliance by more than 6%, whereas non-deterrence nudges, such as appeals to tax morale, had no influence. The effect was transitory—credit fines affected behavior for up to six months, whereas other deterrence nudges decayed more quickly. Private-sector employees, high-income earners, and men were more responsive, while government employees, entrepreneurs, and the super-wealthy displayed minimal change(Yang et al., 2024).

The research highlights that while simple nudges are beneficial, achieving lasting compliance requires both effective enforcement measures and the fostering of trust within the community. These elements are essential for promoting positive and sustainable behaviors.


Female Labour Force Participation Rates in Rural Areas - Employment

Introduction The participation of the female labour force (FLFP) is a significant social and economic indicator. Rural women's employment pattern is shaped by a range of factors, including economic needs, cultural beliefs, levels of education, and economic structural change. India witnessed oscillating FLFP during the last three decades with significant falls in the participation of rural women despite the growth in the economy (Ramesh Chand & Jaspal Singh, 2022). The essay discusses trends, determinants, and policy interventions shaping FLFP in rural India with a special reference to employment opportunities and challenges.

Trends in Rural Female Labour Force Participation in India: The share of FLFP decreased with the passage of time. The overall labour force participation rate (LFPR) increased from 36.9% in 2017-18 to 40.1% in 2019-20, according to Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) data. Rural women's participation was much lower in comparison to men, though it increased from 18.18% in 2017-18 to 47.6% in 2023-24. Nevertheless, rural women's employment participation is still much below the international level.


Factors that influence FLFP in rural India:

  1. Economic and Structural Reforms: Mechanization of agriculture and transition to non-agricultural jobs have revolutionized rural employment. Increased use of technology has reduced the demand for manual labour, which affects the conventional position of women in agricultural employment (Afridi, Dinkelman & Mahajan, 2018).

  2. Education Attainment: Higher education among rural women has not led to higher labour force participation. The data reveal a U-shape relationship, in which highly skilled or least skilled women are more active in the labour market, but those with secondary schooling are missing from the labour force due to social sanctions or the absence of appropriate employment opportunities (Klasen & Pieters, 2015).

  3. Social and Cultural Beliefs: Gender and family norms are the major contributors to restricting the participation of women because of the tremendous pressure that they are under. Rural women are more likely to be tied to their location by family obligations than by any other factor, including work (Desai, 2017).

  4. Household Income: Rising household incomes have helped to decrease FLFP since women leave low-wage informal jobs when their households are financially secure (Klasen et al., 2021).

  5. Pandemic-Induced Shocks: The women were most disproportionately impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, and more female workers lost their jobs. Women lost jobs seven times and were eleven times more likely to be unemployed in and after the lockdown compared to men (Abraham, Basole & Kesar, 2022).


Employment Opportunities for Rural Women Despite challenges, various employment opportunities exist for rural women:

  1. Agriculture and Allied Activities: Agriculture remains the largest rural employment source for rural women. Some 60% of rural Indian female workers work in agriculture, even though they are themselves working as unpaid family laborers (Ramesh Chand & Jaspal Singh, 2022).

  2. Self-Employment and Entrepreneurship: The microfinance initiatives and Self-Help Groups (SHGs) have encouraged the participation of women in micro and small-scale enterprises and entrepreneurship. Programs like the Deendayal Antyodaya Yojana-National Rural Livelihood Mission (DAY-NRLM) have gone a long way in empowering self-employment (Sinha, 2024).

  3. Government Employment Schemes: The Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) has been a key employment driver for women. Women constitute about 50% of MGNREGA workers, with the benefit of wage protection along with work schedule flexibility (Mamgain, 2021).

  4. Non-Farm Employment: Industries such as handicrafts, food processing, and rural tourism provide possible channels for women's employment. Nevertheless, market linkages and access to capital are still issues (Chaudhary, 2020).

Policy Recommendations: To enhance FLFP in rural areas, the following policy measures are recommended:

  1. Skill Upgradation and Vocational Training: Training schemes need to be designed particularly to equip rural women with skills applicable to the new job markets.

  2. Improving Work Opportunities: Increasing MGNREGA to encompass more skill-based employment and increased rural industry investment can provide women with work opportunities.

  3. Confronting Mobility and Safety Issues: Enhanced transport and work place safety measures can bring more women to the workplace.

  4. Social Norms and Awareness Campaigns: Altering societal attitudes by instituting awareness programs and convincing employers to hire women can assist in bridging gender gaps in the labor market.

  5. Expanding Access to Credit and Markets: Expanding financial inclusion and market access can facilitate rural women entrepreneurs and enhance their entrepreneurial prospects.


The inclusion of women in rural employment is required to attain economic growth as well as social justice. Despite structural, social, and economic constraints, policy interventions can be employed to encourage enhanced workforce participation. Enhancing employment schemes, enabling skill acquisition, and changing gender attitudes are paramount to improve FLFP in rural India. A joint effort from the public sector, private sector, and civil society is required to ensure economic engagement by rural women is sustainable and inclusive.

Taxation and Mobility: A Cross-Time Analysis of India’s Experience

Taxation and Mobility: A Cross-Time Analysis of India’s Experience This article explores tax-related migration from ancient India to modern ...